Know where a new restaurant will deliver — before it opens

We predicted the delivery catchment of every McDonald's in Manchester from addresses alone, then compared it with the real Deliveroo map. The zones matched 90% — store by store.

Getplace TeamGetplace Team
2 min read
Predicted and real McDonald's delivery zones in Manchester side by side — a 90% match

Where will a new restaurant actually deliver? You shouldn't have to wait until it opens to find out.

At Getplace.io, we've built a model that predicts the delivery catchment of a new restaurant before it exists. To validate it, we tested it on the delivery coverage of one of the key brands.

The test: 39 addresses in Manchester

We took McDonald's in Manchester and predicted the delivery catchment for every restaurant using only their locations. Then we compared the result with the real Deliveroo delivery map.

Every McDonald's location in Manchester on the map
39 restaurants — every real McDonald's in the city. All we had: 39 addresses.

That is the whole input: 39 pins on a map. No order data, no menus, nothing taken from the delivery platform itself.

Predicted delivery zones for 39 McDonald's restaurants in Manchester
From those addresses alone, the model predicted how the city splits between the 39 stores.

That map is the prediction: 39 catchments drawn from those pins alone. The next one is reality — the same 39 restaurants as Deliveroo actually serves them today.

The real McDonald's delivery map on Deliveroo in Manchester
The real McDonald's delivery map on Deliveroo.

The result: a 90% match

The result: a 90% match. Not just the outline of the whole brand. That's the easy part.

Predicted and real delivery zones side by side, a 90% match
Predicted and real, side by side.

The difficult part is predicting the boundaries between individual restaurants — deciding which houses and postcodes belong to which location, just as the delivery platform does.

Close-up of the borders between neighbouring McDonald's delivery zones
Not the outline — the borders between stores.

Why this matters

Because a delivery catchment is the real market a restaurant serves.

Now you can evaluate a site while it's still just a pin on the map. You can estimate its true reach, understand how much demand it will generate, and see how much it is likely to cannibalise from your existing restaurants.

Questions answered before a new location opens: catchment, redistribution, cannibalisation
See its delivery zone while it's still a pin on the map.

This works for any chain, in any city.

If you're planning new locations, this is exactly what getplace was built for.

The delivery maps in this analysis come from delivery zone tracking — the real coverage of every store on every platform, yours and your competitors'.

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delivery zoneslocation intelligenceMcDonald'sManchester
Getplace Team

Getplace Team

The team behind Getplace delivery intelligence platform

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